InterestRateDecision ECB in 16h 55m

Live calendar8 central banksData Oct 28, 2026, 8:18 PM UTC

Interest rate decisions, measured to the minute.

When every central bank decides, what the market expects, the result, and what price did in the minutes after: measured on real candles, with a projection drawn before each decision.

Measured
105decisions on one-minute candles since January 2025
Closed back
64%of first spikes, inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes
First move
21pipsmedian in the first 15 minutes

01Central bank interest rates today

Every central bank rate, and when each decides next

The rate each bank has set, its last move, its path since 2024 and its decisions in the next eight weeks, as of Oct 28, 2026. Each one since 2008, with the pairs' rate differentials: central bank rates today.

  • Hike expected
  • Hold expected
  • Cut expected
  • No consensus yet
Central bank Rate · last move Since 2024 The next eight weeks Next decision
USD
Federal Reservefederal funds rate (target range)
3.75%–4.00% ▲ +25 bpSep 16 2026
Wed, Dec 9 in 41d 22h No consensus yet
EUR
European Central Bankdeposit facility rate
2.50% ▲ +25 bpSep 10 2026
Thu, Oct 29 in 16h 55m Hold expected
GBP
3.75% ▼ −25 bpDec 18 2025
Thu, Nov 5 in 7d 15h No consensus yet
JPY
Bank of Japanshort-term policy interest rate
1.25% ▲ +25 bpSep 18 2026
Fri, Oct 30 in 1d 6h Hold expected
CAD
Bank of Canadaovernight rate target
2.50% ▲ +25 bpOct 28 2026
Wed, Dec 9 in 41d 18h No consensus yet
AUD
4.60% ▲ +25 bpSep 29 2026
Tue, Nov 3 in 5d 7h No consensus yet
NZD
Reserve Bank of New ZealandOfficial Cash Rate (OCR)
2.75% ▲ +25 bpSep 2 2026
Wed, Dec 9 in 41d 4h No consensus yet
CHF
Swiss National BankSNB policy rate
0.00% ▼ −25 bpJun 19 2025
Thu, Dec 10 in 42d 12h No consensus yet

The Fed sets a range a quarter point wide. The ECB figure is its deposit facility rate. Expected: FXStreet's economists' consensus. Dates are each bank's own.

03What the decision does to price

The first spike is often not the move.

A decision brings a burst of orders at one exact minute. The first spike usually runs past the range of the hour before, where stops are resting. Then watch the close: when a five-minute candle closes back inside, the stops have been taken and the move often belongs to the other side.

EUR/USD · one-minute candles · New York time Federal Reserve, Sep 16, 2026: raised 25 bp to 3.75%–4.00%, as expected
Open this decision →
EUR/USD one-minute chart around the Federal Reserve decision of Sep 16, 2026 The hour before the 14:00 announcement ranged 8.8 pips. The first spike went above it by 7.7 pips, and a five-minute candle closed back inside after 5 minutes. 1.146 1.148 1.150 1.152 1.154 13:00 13:30 14:00 14:30 15:00 15:30 THE HOUR BEFORE Fed 14:00 PRESS CONF. Spike 1.15469 · 7.7 pips past the hour's high Closed back inside · 5 min
  1. The hour before 8.8 pips

    Price waits. Orders build above and below a tight range.

  2. The spike ▲ 7.7 pips

    The decision lands and price runs above the high, into the stops resting there.

  3. The close back 5 min

    A five-minute candle closes back inside the range. The stops are taken; the spike is spent.

  4. The other side −68 pips

    With one side's stops gone, price goes for the other's: EUR/USD one hour after the decision.

The record · 105 decisions since January 2025 67/105

first spikes closed back inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes. In 42 of them price then took the other side within four hours. The rest held their first move, and they are counted too.

How we measure →

04Projections

Where the stops rest before each decision

Drawn from real 15-minute candles: the nearest standing high and low, and the two plays. A: the spike runs the high, closes back, and the low is next. B: the mirror. Neither is a promise; most days one of them plays and some days neither does. Vote on which one plays; the split shows once you vote.

European Central Bank · EUR/USD Thu, Oct 29, 2:15 PM Frankfurt · Hold at 2.50%
EUR/USD 15-minute chart before the European Central Bank decision, with the levels nearest the price Levels above: Wed, Oct 28 high. Below: Tue, Oct 27 low. Play A runs the level above and closes back; play B is the mirror. 1.112 1.114 1.116 1.118 20:00 08:00 20:00 08:00 1.11694 1.11221 Wed, Oct 28 highTue, Oct 27 low ECB · Thu, Oct 29 14:15 A B
Your callThe vote · closed

Which play happens on EUR/USD?

The split shows once you vote. Voting closes at the announcement, in 16h 55m.

ECB preview and the full map →
Bank of Japan · USD/JPY Fri, Oct 30, 12:00 PM Tokyo · Hold at 1.25%
USD/JPY 15-minute chart before the Bank of Japan decision, with the levels nearest the price Levels above: Tue, Oct 27 high. Below: Wed, Oct 28 low. Play A runs the level above and closes back; play B is the mirror. 157.4 157.6 157.8 158.0 158.2 158.4 20:00 08:00 20:00 08:00 157.976 157.651 Tue, Oct 27 highWed, Oct 28 low BoJ · Fri, Oct 30 12:00 A B
Your callThe vote · closed

Which play happens on USD/JPY?

The split shows once you vote. Voting closes at the announcement, in 1d 6h.

BoJ preview and the full map →
Reserve Bank of Australia · AUD/USD Tue, Nov 3, 2:30 PM Sydney · No consensus yet
AUD/USD 15-minute chart before the Reserve Bank of Australia decision, with the levels nearest the price Levels above: This week's high. Below: Tue, Oct 27 high. Play A runs the level above and closes back; play B is the mirror. 0.702 0.704 0.706 20:00 08:00 20:00 08:00 0.70643 0.70401 This week's highTue, Oct 27 high RBA · Tue, Nov 3 14:30 A B
Your callThe vote · closed

Which play happens on AUD/USD?

The split shows once you vote. Voting closes at the announcement, in 5d 7h.

RBA preview and the full map →
Bank of England · GBP/USD Thu, Nov 5, 12:00 PM London · No consensus yet
GBP/USD 15-minute chart before the Bank of England decision, with the levels nearest the price Levels above: Wed, Oct 28 high. Below: Tue, Oct 27 low. Play A runs the level above and closes back; play B is the mirror. 1.328 1.330 1.332 1.334 20:00 08:00 20:00 08:00 1.33385 1.33027 Wed, Oct 28 highTue, Oct 27 low BoE · Thu, Nov 5 12:00 A B
Your callThe vote · closed

Which play happens on GBP/USD?

The split shows once you vote. Voting closes at the announcement, in 7d 15h.

BoE preview and the full map →

05How to read a decision

Four moments, in order

A decision is not one number. It is four things released over about an hour, and price can turn at each.

  1. Days before

    The expectation

    What the market expects is already in the price. Only the difference between the decision and the expectation moves it, which is why a hike can sink a currency.

  2. T + 0

    The decision

    Hike, cut or hold, released at one fixed minute. The first spike is fast and runs both ways; it goes for where the stops are, not for the meaning.

  3. T + 0

    The statement

    The wording, the vote and, four times a year, the projections. One changed phrase about inflation can outweigh the rate itself.

  4. T + 30 to 60

    The press conference

    The governor answers questions, and the second move is often made here. On the Fed it starts thirty minutes after the statement.

HawkishThe currency tends to rise
  • A hike, or a bigger hike than expected
  • A hold when a cut was expected
  • More hikes, or fewer cuts, in the projections
  • Votes for a hike, or worry about inflation in the statement
DovishThe currency tends to fall
  • A cut, or a bigger cut than expected
  • A hold when a hike was expected
  • Fewer hikes, or more cuts, in the projections
  • Votes for a cut, or worry about growth and jobs

Both are measured against what was expected. Hawkish vs dovish, in full →

The guide How to trade interest rate decisions The hour before, the hunt, the close back and the targets, on real decisions. Read the guide

06Latest results

Recent interest rate decisions

The decision against what was expected, and what the pair did in the hour after.

Central bankDecisionAgainst expectedPair, 1 hour after
USD
FedOct 28, 2026
■ Held at 3.75%–4.00% as expected — Chart →
CAD
BoCOct 28, 2026
▲ Raised 25 bp to 2.50% as expected USD/CAD +8.6 pips Chart →
NZD
RBNZOct 28, 2026
■ Held at 2.75% 25 bp more dovish than expected NZD/USD −60 pips Chart →
AUD
RBASep 29, 2026
▲ Raised 25 bp to 4.60% as expected AUD/USD +10 pips Chart →
CHF
SNBSep 24, 2026
■ Held at 0.00% as expected USD/CHF +49 pips Chart →
JPY
BoJSep 18, 2026
▲ Raised 25 bp to 1.25% as expected USD/JPY +48 pips Chart →
GBP
BoESep 17, 2026
■ Held at 3.75% as expected GBP/USD −35 pips Chart →
USD
FedSep 16, 2026
▲ Raised 25 bp to 3.75%–4.00% as expected EUR/USD −68 pips Chart →

07Questions

Interest rate decisions, answered

Short answers. Each bank's page goes further.

Add every decision to your calendar
What is an interest rate decision?

The moment a central bank announces its policy rate: the rate it pays or charges banks overnight, which every other rate in the economy follows. Most major banks decide eight times a year, at a time fixed in advance. Markets move on the decision against what was expected, on the statement that comes with it, and on the press conference after.

When is the next interest rate decision?

The next one is the European Central Bank (ECB) on Thu, Oct 29 at 9:15 AM EDT. This week also: BoJ Thu, Oct 29, RBA Mon, Nov 2. The calendar has every meeting to the end of 2027.

What time are interest rate decisions announced?

Each bank has its own fixed time, in its own city: the Fed at 2:00 pm New York, the ECB at 2:15 pm Frankfurt, the Bank of England at noon London, the Bank of Canada at 9:45 am Ottawa, the RBA at 2:30 pm Sydney, the RBNZ at 2:00 pm Wellington and the SNB at 9:30 am Zurich. The Bank of Japan has no fixed time; it usually announces around midday Tokyo time.

How do interest rate decisions affect forex?

A currency tends to rise when its central bank is more hawkish than expected (higher rates, or more hikes signalled) and fall when it is more dovish. But the first move is often not the lasting one: across 105 decisions since January 2025, the first spike closed back inside the range of the hour before within sixty minutes 67 times (64%). How to trade them.

What do hawkish and dovish mean?

Hawkish: leaning towards higher rates to fight inflation, which tends to lift the currency. Dovish: leaning towards lower rates to support growth, which tends to weaken it. A bank can be hawkish while cutting, if it cuts less than expected or signals it will stop.

Where does the "expected" figure come from?

It is the consensus of economists surveyed for the FXStreet economic calendar. Markets also price each meeting through rate futures; the two usually agree in the final days before a decision.

Can I put the decisions in my calendar?

Yes. Subscribe to all eight banks, or to one bank from its page. Each event carries the time and a link to the preview, and your calendar updates itself when we do.

By Forexia

Learn the read behind every projection.

Forexia teaches the same read this site measures: where the stops rest before a release, the hunt, and the close back that says it is done. Courses, live signals for members, and a community of traders who chart the same way.